Bitter-Cartoon
0xa0bca9bdd8540da95060ed1fafb78aa03835d428
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$33.5K
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$6.4K
Win rate
86%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
4421 shares @ 81.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$148.35
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
2570 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$-77.77
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 95.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-34.55
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2067 shares @ 59.8¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$100.86
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1334 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$0.52
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
1318 shares @ 86.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$51.03
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
3800 shares @ 21.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$279.67
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
968 shares @ 83.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$875.85
$66.13
- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
688 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$628.44
$6.88
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
600 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$588.88
$30.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$3.33May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$2.80May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$57.00May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$12.14May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$108.16May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$9.71May 18, 00:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.61May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.71May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$5.06May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.43May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$27.01May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.05May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.09May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.09May 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.10May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.17May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.57May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$9.99May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.10May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.10May 17, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".