Waterlogged-Spirit
0xa0cbb625b60f5ed1fd06707ddbb7ff6cc320ab6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-119.00
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
1317 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.3K
$421.44
- U 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
371 shares @ 84.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$268.97
$-42.66
- OVER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5
163 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$163.00
$141.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
39 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.30
$0.20
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
152 shares @ 25.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.04
$-15.96
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
69 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.32
$1.38
- NO
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.96
$1.00
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
1605 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-433.35
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
998 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-389.22
- NO
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
811 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-592.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$479.61Apr 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$175.54Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$159.14Apr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$38.00Apr 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$25.74Apr 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$484.30Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$291.84Apr 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$439.81Apr 13, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$459.25Apr 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$697.93Apr 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?$389.22Apr 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$41.68Apr 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$18.90Apr 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$64.40Apr 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$1.62Apr 13, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$59.22Apr 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$127.80Apr 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$102.07Apr 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$528.30Apr 12, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$59.29Apr 12, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $243.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".