Ajar-Cartilage
0xa10b8c4f154fbbf1fda28563edf458914f798ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$-195.62
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
7338 shares @ 46.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.1K
$-281.52
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1663 shares @ 78.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-90.97
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
1411 shares @ 56.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$811.46
$11.46
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
1518 shares @ 52.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$599.53
$-200.47
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1579 shares @ 38.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$449.84
$-150.16
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
9551 shares @ 40.8¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$358.16
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1448 shares @ 24.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$238.98
$-111.02
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2075 shares @ 38.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$186.71
$-613.28
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 14.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.62
$-129.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
417 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$147.92
$-2.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$103.48May 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 14, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$500.00May 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$101.80May 14, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$144.14May 14, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$154.44May 14, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$800.00May 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$250.00May 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?$82.30May 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?$82.33May 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$700.00May 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$258.99May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$155.45May 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.28May 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.84May 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$800.00May 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00May 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1000.00May 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1000.00May 13, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$250.00May 12, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $202.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".