Smooth-Usual
0xa10ee19cb9dcea57149bb32a8b52613103280ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$161.94
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
13999 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$63.00
$-234.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
5082 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.28
$-205.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
1005 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$32.66
$-97.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
4000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
111222 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-174.84
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
111111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-111.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?
29931 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-272.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2?
27600 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-631.34
- YES
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?
24917 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?
22372 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-526.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 in January?$0.00May 17, 23:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.96May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$42.14May 14, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$84.54May 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$3.58May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$0.02May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$6.90May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$13.98May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$19.25May 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$9.27May 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?$0.28May 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?$24.51May 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?$152.53May 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$105.27May 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$0.67May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$5.26May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?$2.32May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$44.95May 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$3.59May 14, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$3.59May 14, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".