Cheerful-Ladybug
0xa136a7eca4520822e06e32498a5a60bd9c322965
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-52.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
2520 shares @ 57.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$566.95
$-873.44
- YES
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
607 shares @ 78.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$400.93
$-76.36
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
100 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.75
$2.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 85 and 90?$103.08May 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 85 and 90?$97.28May 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 85 and 90?$4.67May 10, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 9, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$99.90May 9, 18:58 UTC
- REWARD$1.10May 4, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$96.30Apr 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.60Apr 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.70Apr 28, 12:42 UTC
- REWARD$13.05Apr 25, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.72Apr 25, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$250.41Apr 24, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?$341.98Apr 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?$180.64Apr 24, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?$120.88Apr 24, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$41.06Apr 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$14.24Apr 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$10.26Apr 24, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$19.79Apr 24, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $184.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".