Ideal-Nasal
0xa146d5e46aaa06448c7cb8c77330b9f94efd038b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$150.41
Total PnL
$-95.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
23 shares @ 79.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.88
$3.83
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.85
$3.85
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$11.90
$3.90
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.85
$0.85
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 39.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.04
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
21 shares @ 43.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.67
$1.67
- YES
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$7.84
$-0.16
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.76
$-2.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$16.04May 10, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.16May 10, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$10.20May 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$10.00May 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.07May 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.33May 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.43May 8, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.07May 8, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".