Celebrated-Sousaphone
0xa151284a1784ddd58fe230523458e25a02cf13b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$675.34
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-7.53
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
725 shares @ 83.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$435.00
$-166.75
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
815 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.95
$-48.90
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
100 shares @ 93.8¢·now 92.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.60
$-1.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.91
$-0.11
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
58 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.24
$-4.06
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
47 shares @ 39.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.64
$-12.69
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
930 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-744.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
260 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-36.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6PM ET
176 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- NO
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?
101 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$54.91Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$52.82Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$47.12Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?$601.75Apr 24, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$266.42Apr 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$489.55Apr 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$717.66Apr 7, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?$718.00Apr 7, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?$635.43Mar 29, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?$143.26Mar 26, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$20.86Mar 26, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$387.66Mar 26, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$0.98Mar 26, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?$77.52Mar 26, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?$91.39Mar 23, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?$103.96Mar 23, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?$44.62Mar 23, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$29.60Mar 22, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$358.90Mar 22, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$251.16Mar 22, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $195.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".