Concerned-Tenement
0xa15b9c982a066c8e5306429c84fcf63c60318ff7
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$224.63
Total PnL
$-0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
55 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$54.26
$0.21
- NO
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.59
$0.10
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
51 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$50.13
$0.00
- NO
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
53 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$49.82
$-0.74
- NO
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.83
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.13May 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.49May 17, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$47.06May 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$4.00May 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$50.18May 15, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$51.00May 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$50.65May 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$50.56May 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$49.32May 11, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.15May 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$47.74May 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$2.19May 9, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$50.90May 9, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$44.25May 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$7.22May 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$50.03May 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$34.23May 8, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$16.51May 8, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.96May 8, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$2.90May 8, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $32.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".