Insecure-Fire
0xa1726b44f76cf3b7ffd748cae41d8966300bb716
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$14.9K
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
46%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
3930 shares @ 74.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$399.57
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4704 shares @ 52.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.5K
$42.09
- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
1582 shares @ 76.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$230.32
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2116 shares @ 72.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.3K
$-259.64
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
1195 shares @ 87.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$973.67
$-76.01
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3134 shares @ 68.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$941.66
$-1.2K
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1133 shares @ 87.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$821.55
$-164.31
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
598 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$409.36
$110.56
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1967 shares @ 51.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$403.25
$-615.15
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1830 shares @ 19.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$393.45
$36.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$60.00May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$1.00May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$3.45May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$209.90May 18, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$20.91May 16, 09:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$0.20May 15, 02:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$0.15May 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.78May 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$0.20May 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$94.37May 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$17.90May 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.44May 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$35.82May 14, 03:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 14, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.78May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 13, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $24.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".