Long-Stage
0xa1a584060a82130f50c3f00f86f6645bae18f928
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$71.32
Total PnL
$-406.74
Realised
$-0.22
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
301 shares @ 33.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.78
$-32.22
- YES
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 19.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.54
$-16.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
885 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?
542 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-90.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
288 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
234 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
147 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-29.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
89 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
69 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$25.73May 13, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$6.53May 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.21May 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.78May 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.13May 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.45May 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.76May 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$2.97May 13, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$30.07May 13, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$18.57May 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$18.83May 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.98May 12, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$71.46May 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$74.12May 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$81.44May 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$81.35May 12, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $25.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".