Soggy-Repayment
0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$267.44
Total PnL
$-317.57
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
94 shares @ 37.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.39
$29.15
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
6328 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$47.46
$-7.69
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
849 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$42.87
$12.82
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
272 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$31.28
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
245 shares @ 4.1¢·now 6.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.78
$6.67
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
160 shares @ 12.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.20
$-5.44
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
10 shares @ 55.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$6.85
$1.30
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
457 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.17
$-8.85
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
17 shares @ 31.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$-0.12
- YES
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
60 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.80
$-0.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.80May 17, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$40.00May 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.50May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.50May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.20May 17, 03:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.67May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.98May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.43May 16, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".