Disastrous-Knee
0xa1c20973fc197d6881e57c5f17db8be3f054cab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$494.69
Total PnL
$-681.94
Realised
$-35.94
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1040 shares @ 42.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$239.21
$-200.19
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 75.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$110.70
$-24.30
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
84 shares @ 91.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$78.14
$1.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$44.99
$15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.60
$-5.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.50
$-11.50
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.55
$-10.45
- TROY TROJANS
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
1397 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.37
- YES
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
949 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-38.98
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
877 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-148.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$121.43May 13, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$54.24May 13, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$0.07May 7, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$4.80May 7, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$0.94May 7, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$0.94May 7, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$0.18May 7, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$8.51May 7, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.90May 7, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$0.77May 7, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$11.89May 7, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$17.03May 7, 15:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$29.98May 5, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $19.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".