Late-Gaffer
0xa1cc5447893617240a80c098783f56304eff3ddb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$119.85
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-31.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
510 shares @ 50.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$119.85
$-139.39
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
1733 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-673.53
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-479.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
227 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
206 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$68.12Jan 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$70.18Jan 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$157.52Dec 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$157.52Dec 14, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$126.05Dec 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$125.15Dec 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$35.00Dec 12, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$200.00Dec 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$35.26Dec 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$193.90Dec 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$72.35Dec 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$15.68Dec 12, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$42.89Dec 12, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$3.90Dec 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$76.08Dec 11, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$42.84Dec 11, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$3.44Dec 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$20.50Dec 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$156.00Dec 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$232.61Dec 10, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $106.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".