Bowed-Warrior
0xa211d56bb9f0dc73511acf3a503ca5086261657f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$620.23
Total PnL
$-63.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
452 shares @ 34.7¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$110.09
$-46.61
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.49
$-4.51
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
70 shares @ 66.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.45
$18.65
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
90 shares @ 55.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.65
$12.15
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
168 shares @ 36.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.08
$-9.26
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.75
$-5.75
- YES
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
122 shares @ 8.2¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.91
$20.91
- YES
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
450 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2574 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.60
$-7.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$5.80May 8, 20:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$33.26May 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$27.48May 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$7.44May 3, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $15.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".