Competent-Behold
0xa22e15d911193c8a03ce726a1913825e60f2109c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-292.78
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
743 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$742.63
$0.37
- HC SOCHI
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
480 shares @ 84.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$480.00
$72.96
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
312 shares @ 41.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$277.68
$149.76
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
910 shares @ 18.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.84
$-152.40
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
27 shares @ 20.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.77
$8.37
- YES
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
111 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.77
$-3.88
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.67
- YES
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.16
- NO
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
759 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-183.68
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
752 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-97.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.08Apr 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$243.75Apr 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$19.95Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$52.00Apr 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$51.00Apr 12, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$64.50Apr 12, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$24.78Apr 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$58.10Apr 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$208.56Apr 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$13.43Apr 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$362.06Apr 11, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$184.04Apr 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$552.45Apr 11, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$407.04Apr 11, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$82.88Apr 10, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$96.25Apr 10, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpic Games IPO before 2027?$0.61Apr 10, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?$3.28Apr 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?$111.00Apr 9, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$240.80Apr 9, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $196.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".