Elementary-Rebel
0xa2ef42aad51263543d5862c580542ecaefa59548
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$112.22
Total PnL
$-228.16
Realised
$-137.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$63.00
$-48.26
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9057 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$31.70
$4.53
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
3186 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$17.52
$-2.77
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
2900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.33
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
2200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.13
- NO
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?
1840 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-15.03
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
650 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.35May 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.06May 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.06May 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.09May 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.18May 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.09May 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.45May 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.39May 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.09May 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.24May 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.48Apr 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.80Apr 30, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.09Apr 27, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.15Apr 27, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.13Apr 27, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.13Apr 27, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 27, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.03Apr 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.29Apr 27, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".