Failing-Joint
0xa3803fb09f22623f9fe64fc83dd25df0cbee08a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$78.83
Total PnL
$-53.93
Realised
$2.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
142 shares @ 89.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$78.35
$-48.85
- YES
Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?
25 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.19
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-0.42
- YES
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.02
$-0.42
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.05
- YES
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
36 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.02
$-0.31
- YES
Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.09
- YES
Will Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.02
$-0.04
- YES
Will Tomáš Macháč be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.02
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?$115.35May 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?$12.44May 6, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juuse Saros win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Calgary Flames win the Western Conference?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beşiktaş win the Süper Lig?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Harden lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derrick White lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 6, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $63.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".