Stained-Polarisation
0xa38ba489b2ad52743f398130b0ab87cad5d29917
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$80.14
Total PnL
$-9.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.54
$0.06
- NO
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.95
$0.01
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
500 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$-9.75
- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 18, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$300.00May 16, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$137.23May 15, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$100.00May 14, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$82.44May 11, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Magic$0.00May 11, 05:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $91.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".