Untried-Underweight
0xa3c64af237f6e12dd7a9ea95825f8dba30470547
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$24.2K
Total PnL
$-57.7K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
283690 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.4K
$-38.3K
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
14259 shares @ 6.7¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.4K
$2.4K
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
14316 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-1.5K
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
1810 shares @ 79.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$280.48
$-1.1K
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
197 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$195.62
$24.23
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
122 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.81
$-17.10
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
100000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
30000 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
11072 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
- REDEEMOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$1.0KApr 22, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.35Feb 22, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$5.00Feb 22, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$13.40Feb 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.12Feb 22, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$38.32Feb 21, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$9.56Feb 21, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$8.71Feb 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.3KFeb 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$790.00Feb 8, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$35.16Feb 8, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.24Feb 8, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$56.43Feb 8, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$5.06Feb 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.99Feb 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.95Feb 8, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.37Feb 8, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$83.89Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$85.77Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $73.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".