Direct-Chainstay
0xa3e22cd32aa9238ef7dbcfb4761e33b9eaa1fdf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-235.65
Win rate
47%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
255 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$254.87
$8.80
- NO
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
223 shares @ 75.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$222.81
$55.20
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by May 31, 2026?
202 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$200.49
$7.58
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
201 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$189.94
$47.23
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?
178 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$161.09
$0.89
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
185 shares @ 79.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$156.25
$9.00
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
156 shares @ 94.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.77
$8.77
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?
179 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$153.04
$-6.26
- NO
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
168 shares @ 90.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$139.44
$-12.83
- YES
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
192 shares @ 61.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$139.19
$20.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$5.00May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$3.03May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$40.31May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$11.60May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?$38.22May 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$119.18May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$4.28May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$28.84May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner$0.25May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$55.00May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$33.60May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$35.48May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$27.96May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.16May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$8.16May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $22.23May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?$26.26May 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$44.44May 18, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$100.00May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?$4.08May 18, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $23.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".