Candid-Lighting
0xa3e9a711841e655def080044768452b60f4263d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$113.9K
Total PnL
$573.13
Realised
$6.0K
Win rate
83%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
21495 shares @ 62.2¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.4K
$-2.9K
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
11562 shares @ 29.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.1K
$6.7K
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
9190 shares @ 73.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.2K
$428.49
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27270 shares @ 39.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$7.0K
$-3.8K
- NO
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
9719 shares @ 77.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.5K
$-1.1K
- NO
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
7000 shares @ 84.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.5K
$-437.91
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
7670 shares @ 69.6¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.9K
$-430.37
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
7215 shares @ 66.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.8K
$-32.12
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
4283 shares @ 91.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.3K
$357.14
- NO
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
4886 shares @ 75.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.4K
$-260.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$5.71May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$13.29May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$13.29May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.51May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.99May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$26.84May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$59.92May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$21.24May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$26.84May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$43.71May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$26.84May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$41.10May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$26.50May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$27.78May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$90.47May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$57.80May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$100.57May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$89.39May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$4.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$81.64May 18, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $79.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".