Compassionate-Subsidy
0xa438c10766ae2146645394bb2daf4f05e1f45d7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
2173 shares @ 41.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$662.65
$-245.74
- YES
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
4762 shares @ 33.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$595.19
$-1.0K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$152.08
$52.08
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$104.06
$4.06
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5882 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$79.17
$-20.83
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2723 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$61.26
$-38.74
- YES
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
574 shares @ 17.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$31.58
$-68.42
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
185 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.80
$-1.20
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
477 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.53
$-95.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$583.01May 5, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$302.35May 5, 04:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.10May 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$109.19May 2, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $216.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".