Lumpy-Windchime
0xa44d0b1338d8d9abf8310323140522777429edf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-447.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
748 shares @ 66.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$519.62
$19.62
- YES
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1018 shares @ 49.1¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$346.28
$-153.72
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1306 shares @ 17.2¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$312.86
$87.86
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
597 shares @ 25.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$193.81
$43.81
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1410 shares @ 3.5¢·now 8.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.56
$72.56
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
149 shares @ 67.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.70
$-18.30
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
5495 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$38.47
$-11.53
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3313 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$38.09
$-11.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$22.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.43
$-78.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$52.48May 17, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$25.58May 17, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$50.54May 17, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$102.46May 17, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$0.00May 17, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.00May 17, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$153.85May 17, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$250.00May 17, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$101.80May 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$101.14May 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$101.05May 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$51.09May 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$241.27May 11, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$51.21May 11, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$202.70May 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$76.82May 10, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$203.54May 10, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$370.70May 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$287.41May 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$26.18May 9, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $103.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".