Frizzy-Grassland
0xa44ddc4e4643f0bf78bcb54e3eefc02f8b3adf91
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$197.80
Total PnL
$-223.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
877 shares @ 22.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.73
$-55.27
- NO
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
27 shares @ 73.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.96
$4.96
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
201 shares @ 49.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.11
$-80.89
- YES
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
104 shares @ 57.9¢·now 8.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
93 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-41.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$6.33May 3, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$54.00May 3, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$41.08Mar 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$19.98Jan 30, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jan 30, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$60.00Jan 30, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$100.00Jan 30, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$421.06Jan 26, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$160.79Jan 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by October 31?$0.00Jan 6, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 6, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$0.00Jan 6, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$0.00Jan 6, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$6.58Jan 6, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$154.21Jan 6, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$125.12Dec 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$125.11Dec 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$61.51Nov 24, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$8.60Nov 24, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$60.00Nov 23, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $94.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".