Tepid-Permafrost
0xa450e0d53476de04f775d238d22ba736d43b452f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$692.96
Total PnL
$-72.7K
Realised
$56.61
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
1594 shares @ 5.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$247.11
$167.40
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
3430 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$154.33
$-17.15
- YES
Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
1351 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$87.79
$20.26
- YES
Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
3854 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$55.88
$-136.82
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
4000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.00
$-178.00
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16453 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.23
$-327.54
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16453 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.23
$-327.54
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16453 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.23
$-327.54
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16453 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.23
$-327.54
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16453 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.23
$-327.54
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.73May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.61May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.60May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.02May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.00May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Great Britain win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$0.02May 18, 01:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.32May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.25May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 17?$0.24May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$0.91May 17, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$2.00May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$10.00May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$0.87May 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 17?$1.64May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$0.06May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?$1.22May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?$0.03May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$1.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?$5.20May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 17?$0.40May 17, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".