Cautious-Race
0xa4856d8121720b733c21b711dcef3b3ee4be3704
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$29.34
Total PnL
$-69.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
98 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$20.04
$-4.40
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
583 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?
92 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
50 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$15.73May 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00May 3, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.56May 3, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.30May 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$10.26May 3, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?$20.78May 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$20.56May 3, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$20.41May 2, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$10.37May 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$58.56May 2, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$24.39May 1, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$45.72Apr 29, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?$0.00Apr 29, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$0.00Apr 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 25, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Apr 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$27.30Apr 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Apr 22, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $16.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".