Impressive-Credenza
0xa4bd8f49695cf5d55924aca4cc2694952874e8a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$237.46
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$799.22
Win rate
98%
176 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
60 shares @ 43.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$59.79
$33.74
- NO
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 57.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$57.32
$9.96
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.00
$1.49
- YES
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.80
$-4.80
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
60 shares @ 41.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$25.50
$0.60
- NO
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$17.76
$-3.48
- NO
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$15.90
$0.90
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-0.92
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
60 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-2.40
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
30 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.10
$-3.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$30.01May 17, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$30.00May 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$30.00May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$21.70May 17, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.78May 17, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$1.00May 16, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMSydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5$30.00May 11, 13:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$17.37May 11, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$11.50May 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$31.26May 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4.35May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4.68May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.07May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.68May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.55May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.37May 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.64May 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$8.82May 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.30May 10, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 176 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".