Worthwhile-Piece
0xa4c31771f294ee31146ff9cc5097186bdd25bbb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$408.3K
Total PnL
$3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
393741 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$364.4K
$3.4K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
36102 shares @ 83.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$30.1K
$-113.33
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
8801 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.6K
$181.55
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5882 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$147.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$43.23May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$43.21May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$43.19May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$30.00May 15, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$100.00May 15, 14:51 UTC
- YIELD$43.17May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$43.17May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$43.11May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$3.5KMay 12, 02:15 UTC
- YIELD$42.47May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$10.0KMay 11, 06:23 UTC
- YIELD$40.78May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$5.0KMay 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$15.0KMay 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$6.0KMay 10, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$500.00May 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$100.00May 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$5.0KMay 10, 03:23 UTC
- YIELD$38.89May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$1000.00May 9, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $9.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".