Unwelcome-Dollop
0xa4caa5f567b759fe60380830bb44bf9fb30bb890
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1329 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$73.08
- YES
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
488 shares @ 16.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.42
$-54.52
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
353 shares @ 28.3¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$21.74
$-78.26
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
2569 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
1667 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
799 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
684 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-191.43
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
674 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
632 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.1KMar 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$100.00Feb 13, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$229.55Jan 10, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$2.5KJan 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?$78.95Jan 10, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$200.00Jan 10, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$100.00Dec 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $120.00Dec 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.00Dec 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$20.00Dec 9, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$0.00Dec 2, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$0.00Dec 2, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$38.28Dec 2, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$273.97Dec 2, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$20.00Dec 2, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$246.70Dec 2, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$191.43Sep 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$20.00Aug 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$500.00Aug 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJustin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?$30.00Jul 8, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $195.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".