Chilly-Heroine
0xa4f92757a6cb21747f646524495903f08058a7b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$42.31
Total PnL
$-140.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1010 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.70
$-5.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
2541 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.71
$-38.88
- YES
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
614 shares @ 8.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.90
$-41.10
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
19760 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-19.76
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
14880 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-29.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.29May 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$32.74May 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$9.04May 14, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?$0.79May 12, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.00May 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?$0.11May 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$10.26May 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$20.51May 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$2.05May 9, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.72May 9, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$11.93May 6, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.23May 5, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.78May 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.78May 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.80May 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.78May 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.85May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.51May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.14May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.78May 5, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".