Agreeable-Notation
0xa50314168a90c6efd197ca6a8c3b3741544c2342
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$42.6K
Total PnL
$5.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
8000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.6K
$1.4K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
5600 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.2K
$140.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
8518 shares @ 38.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.1K
$1.8K
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
5000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.8K
$635.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.8K
$832.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
4330 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.7K
$324.75
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
3830 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.6K
$287.25
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
3800 shares @ 72.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.3K
$551.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3520 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$17.60
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1600 shares @ 62.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$447.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$2.7KMay 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.5KMay 16, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.0KMay 16, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$0.00May 16, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.0KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.71May 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.53May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.91May 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$11.70May 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$22.62May 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$39.00May 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$39.00May 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.39May 11, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$195.00May 11, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.56May 11, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.6KMay 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$11.26May 11, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.3KMay 11, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $952.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".