Celebrated-Piglet
0xa52fbaaf1d2cb0fb8c4a202c0844e67896fc12ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$42.48
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-20.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
659 shares @ 4.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.48
$12.07
- YES
Will Biden pardon Trump?
3809 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- NO
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
2931 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-840.00
- YES
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
2500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
2052 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
373 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
287 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.80
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?$31.86May 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$14.54Mar 19, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.86Mar 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$8.46Mar 4, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$5.00Mar 4, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$5.00Mar 4, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$5.00Mar 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?$5.00Mar 4, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?$7.00Mar 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?$26.67Mar 4, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?$4.00Mar 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Mar 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.00Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$26.39Mar 3, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$20.00Feb 16, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$20.00Feb 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?$40.21Feb 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?$31.00Feb 14, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?$30.65Feb 14, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $35.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".