Remorseful-Thorn
0xa53d323139566d992c4613b8225670365f864952
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$290.82
Total PnL
$-44.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
60 shares @ 66.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.57
$2.57
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.42
$3.42
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
43 shares @ 69.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.61
$-7.39
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.72
$2.72
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.17
$2.17
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.96
$-3.04
- YES
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$11.35
$1.35
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.90
$0.90
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.88
$0.88
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
32 shares @ 47.2¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$10.63
$-4.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.07May 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$5.13May 17, 04:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.03May 16, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?$10.15May 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.10May 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.13May 10, 07:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$20.61May 9, 15:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$10.18May 6, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $9.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".