Elementary-Salsa
0xa5435433645a8dc3595ecbf87b2e568ec6a4d47e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$292.61
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$4.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$79.20
$6.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
844 shares @ 11.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.30
$-34.99
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.42
$10.17
- YES
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1052 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.92
$11.84
- YES
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
399 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.70
$4.97
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.50
$4.50
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
510 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.43
$4.33
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.13
$0.63
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Was Trump hacked?
5651 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-521.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.47May 16, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".