Direct-Behold
0xa5538be5d78c71155032cfcd4e508c99f16a3b87
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$64.36
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$15.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
9195 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.36
$-934.36
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
8785 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-722.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or below on January 16?
610 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 16?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2PM ET
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on January 16?
7 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$998.72Jan 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$23.03Jan 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$23.03Jan 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$487.70Jan 19, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$13.99Jan 17, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.00Jan 17, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3PM ET$0.00Jan 17, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5$13.99Jan 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$111.32Jan 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$76.15Jan 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$9.26Jan 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$10.00Jan 16, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET$0.01Jan 16, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?$0.00Jan 16, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?$0.00Jan 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3PM ET$64.55Jan 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3PM ET$50.00Jan 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3PM ET$13.33Jan 16, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $56.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".