Violet-Talk
0xa57720b308e4f9823a4fb85d2b24df0f4b5ca22a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$86.59
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$70.62
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
120 shares @ 29.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.06
$0.37
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
410 shares @ 9.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.41
$-27.59
- NO
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
46 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.34
$-0.34
- YES
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
154 shares @ 1.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.07
$3.24
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
444 shares @ 6.9¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.44
$-26.08
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
155 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.17
$-2.95
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$1.05
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
96 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.02
$-0.38
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
54 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.94
$0.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
7 shares @ 26.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.73May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?$2.90May 15, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.96May 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$30.00May 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.60May 13, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16?$0.00Apr 26, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 26, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.00Apr 26, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$16.52Apr 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.38Apr 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.00Apr 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$13.30Apr 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?$1.55Apr 6, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$4.83Mar 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.00Mar 21, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?$2.50Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.00Mar 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.03Mar 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.02Mar 17, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".