Ecstatic-Longitude
0xa57966df81fac0d869e32336c42bca34e27aaad0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-467.03
Realised
$164.62
Win rate
100%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$1.02
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$885.00
$-15.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
800 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$742.80
$4.96
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
513 shares @ 83.5¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$415.62
$-12.79
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
300 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$296.25
$0.15
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
438 shares @ 64.9¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$253.97
$-30.41
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$191.00
$1.00
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
136 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$135.46
$7.92
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
200 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$125.00
$1.00
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.18May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.58May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.45May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$323.37May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.85May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.95May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.95May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.85May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.85May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.95May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.85May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.80May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.85May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.80May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.18May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.95May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.90May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.01May 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.80May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.90May 18, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $140.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".