Polite-Vinyl
0xa5a979cf5db3c696e9f3bd5b484f6201a4ef27cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.20
Total PnL
$-52.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$-3.49
- YES
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1?
137 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
77 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 14?
29 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$30.00Jan 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1?$10.00Jan 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?$24.67Jan 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? $1.00Jan 13, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMTexans vs. Steelers$16.95Jan 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?$10.00Jan 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Steelers$10.00Jan 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 14?$10.00Jan 12, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $12.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".