Idle-Twist
0xa5d98ca13dca0431c4e525f2e01001b0850f8177
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$507.05
Total PnL
$80.93
Realised
$15.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
221 shares @ 71.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$200.26
$42.76
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$113.29
$13.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
100 shares @ 63.2¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.81
$9.34
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
64 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.38
$7.38
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
31 shares @ 81.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.79
$1.79
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.16
$0.16
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.71
$-0.79
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$4.01May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.56May 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$20.31May 17, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$31.98May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$42.61May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$6.30May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$30.44May 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$30.09May 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$67.85May 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$52.40May 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$52.46May 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.53May 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.48May 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$5.00May 10, 07:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$20.00May 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$60.00May 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$85.11May 8, 12:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $29.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".