Overlooked-Margarine
0xa5edeab901cf05e143a0d6c0ed8aab734bb1079a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$89.36
Total PnL
$-551.62
Realised
$6.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 53.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.36
$10.98
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.00
$-6.00
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
1195 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-34.33
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?
776 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-29.94
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?
740 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-57.58
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
590 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-42.80
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
480 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-114.20
- YES
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
455 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- NO
Will Canton launch a token in 2025?
445 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-109.48
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.72May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$41.33May 1, 21:54 UTC
- REWARD$4.72Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$22.40Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$50.98Apr 27, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.03Apr 23, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$287.29Apr 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$61.00Apr 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$64.52Apr 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$63.00Apr 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$33.00Apr 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.17Mar 11, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.44Mar 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.19Mar 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.81Mar 11, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.46Mar 11, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.49Mar 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.59Mar 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.64Mar 11, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.42Mar 11, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".