Rude-Constitution
0xa60e25dcbd3477287fcd65168854b991877ed332
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$-6.5K
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
3159 shares @ 78.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$554.42
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1834 shares @ 82.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.6K
$59.72
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$201.50
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1600 shares @ 36.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$648.00
$64.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$630.00
$30.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1989 shares @ 61.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$597.68
$-634.16
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
12880 shares @ 36.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$579.62
$-4.1K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
317 shares @ 52.2¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.68
$4.04
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
624 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$134.19
$40.57
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
299 shares @ 46.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$122.62
$-14.95
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.23May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.15May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$33.41May 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$33.67May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$30.42May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$380.00May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$600.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$88.08May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$155.00May 18, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$54.53May 18, 02:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.62May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$9.27May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$8.60May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.48May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$43.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 17, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $151.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".