Quarrelsome-Cake
0xa61b2981fe679b2a34608db90bc4057569219d74
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$165.52
Total PnL
$-864.38
Realised
$601.54
Win rate
81%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1824 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.46
$-0.05
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
150 shares @ 33.7¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.25
$-0.37
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
80 shares @ 56.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$46.80
$1.88
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.26
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.30
$-2.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?
36819 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-41.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?
3628 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-38.03
- YES
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1432 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Solana Network go down in January?
1200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-180.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$146.25May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$25.39May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$9.30May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$85.00May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$9.00May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.06May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.08May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.31May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.08May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.08May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.08May 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.11May 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$13.40May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$13.00May 18, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.47May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$6.30May 18, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$47.20May 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.79May 17, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".