Buzzing-Sir
0xa62c41929814bd6efa808da05619ac24787be626
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$20.25
Total PnL
$-58.76
Realised
$-3.94
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?
271 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$7.05
$6.05
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?
252 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.54
$2.54
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
283 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$-6.03
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?
426 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$2.55
$-1.39
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$2.21
$1.21
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
3200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?
3172 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.71
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
588 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 16, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 16, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 16, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 16, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 16, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$0.18May 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?$0.35May 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$1.04May 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?$0.39May 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?$1.04May 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?$0.24May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?$0.35May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.01May 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.04May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.04May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.14May 13, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 12?$0.00May 13, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 12?$0.00May 13, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00May 13, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".