Triangular-Runner
0xa62e3bfac06581ca90399462cad63ce10d072e72
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$25.82
Total PnL
$-4.43
Realised
$0.88
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-0.53
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.21
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.21
$0.03
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.17
$-0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$-0.06
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.08
$0.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.21May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.09May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.09May 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.19May 15, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.05May 15, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.17May 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.03May 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.05May 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.05May 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.17May 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.40May 15, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.40May 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$0.04May 14, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $0.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".