Genuine-Armpit
0xa638749f9aa75ee30191b9296646c380f49a1d87
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$984.57
Total PnL
$-220.6K
Realised
$24.2K
Win rate
64%
88 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
5626 shares @ 47.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$984.57
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
58261 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
58261 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
58176 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
47656 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
45556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-835.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
34001 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
31210 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
28986 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
26548 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-265.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$295.77May 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$0.20May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$0.20May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$0.20May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$0.20May 18, 06:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.23May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$273.14May 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$120.03May 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$134.55May 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$200.44May 15, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.18May 15, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$54.78May 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.15May 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.03May 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$118.41May 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$21.91May 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$195.59May 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$122.13May 15, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$15.72May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$552.49May 15, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $121.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 88 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".