Familiar-Drink
0xa6676646a16d8c7044ea2ac7e2b9ab09eb7384fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$13.1K
Win rate
80%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
150647 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.7K
$1.6K
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$375.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1961 shares @ 89.1¢·now 71.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-352.66
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2909 shares @ 62.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$916.22
$-914.90
- NO
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
713 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$695.72
$2.76
- YES
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
455 shares @ 44.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$356.81
$152.51
- NO
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
2014 shares @ 46.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$251.75
$-684.16
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1735 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$234.22
$-8.68
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
885 shares @ 20.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$216.82
$31.70
- NO
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
208 shares @ 88.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$197.70
$13.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.42May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.84May 17, 09:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.08May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.8KMay 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$81.78May 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.5KMay 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$319.66May 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.2KMay 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$32.33May 16, 12:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.45May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Liverpool FC?$0.72May 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$678.55May 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$0.61May 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$624.16May 15, 21:01 UTC
- MERGEWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$20.00May 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$29.15May 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$4.92May 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$624.16May 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$67.62May 15, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $316.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".