Boring-Avalanche
0xa68286d52639c03444898ed4c7e2e75113f32303
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$43.73
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$4.26
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
265 shares @ 25.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.73
$-23.31
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
59800 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-780.81
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
51200 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
20775 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-118.40
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
17150 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-234.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9?
7500 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
7000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-153.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 15?
4304 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-287.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11?
4000 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-275.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 18?
3554 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-78.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$153.20Mar 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.10Mar 25, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 23?$0.00Mar 19, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$0.00Mar 19, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$213.80Mar 19, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$22.54Mar 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?$21.10Mar 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$24.00Mar 16, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?$26.00Mar 16, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$8.00Mar 16, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$99.00Mar 15, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$142.50Mar 15, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.05Mar 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.01Mar 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.05Mar 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.05Mar 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.25Mar 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.63Mar 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.01Mar 14, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".