Fatherly-Smog
0xa6b9c97e62895d22b81c011b03a642258e67b0c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$640.18
Total PnL
$-552.85
Realised
$19.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 50.3¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$142.50
$-8.51
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?
428 shares @ 26.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.32
$14.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
700 shares @ 30.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$125.98
$-83.84
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
400 shares @ 54.4¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.00
$-101.43
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
150 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.00
$1.54
- NO
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
44 shares @ 67.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$39.72
$10.48
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
25 shares @ 41.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.75
$-1.50
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
300 shares @ 23.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$-65.77
- $60K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
226 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-78.07
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?
192 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$36.74May 17, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$118.26May 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$79.70May 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$37.96May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$74.96May 16, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?$4.12May 7, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?$2.79May 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?$0.26May 7, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$100.00May 5, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$400.00May 5, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$37.15Apr 27, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$19.15Apr 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$5.08Apr 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$5.21Apr 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$16.27Apr 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$45.00Apr 10, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by April 24?$0.00Apr 10, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$152.00Apr 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?$199.60Apr 5, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $48.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".