Physical-Beggar
0xa6dcc89a31d7d68c961969eed282690ed41912ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$672.10
Total PnL
$-333.43
Realised
$-50.23
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
419 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$335.25
$0.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
601 shares @ 55.2¢·now 29.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$180.10
$-152.13
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
239 shares @ 62.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.00
$-31.82
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.75
$-2.25
- NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
100 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-97.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$65.56May 18, 11:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.46May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$400.04May 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$135.99May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$136.01May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$38.49May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$1.00May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$1.00May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$40.00May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$42.00May 18, 03:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.48May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$1.12May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$3.58May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$3.57May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$1.94May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$3.57May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$3.57May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$3.56May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$9.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$4.94May 18, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".