Determined-Originality
0xa74581ebc457ca0ac679e6cb8851edc40c928ca6
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$85.8K
Total PnL
$3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
21188 shares @ 94.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.9K
$878.92
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
15903 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.6K
$575.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
15750 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.5K
$536.51
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
7791 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.7K
$464.81
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
5794 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$315.07
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
5004 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.0K
$143.61
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
4388 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.3K
$178.06
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
3797 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$111.37
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
2322 shares @ 91.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$135.81
- YES
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
2132 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$1.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?$1.6KApr 20, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMTim Walz in jail by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMHillary Clinton charged by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton charged by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell arrested by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMTim Walz in jail by March 31?$936.96Apr 6, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.0KApr 6, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMHillary Clinton charged by March 31?$1.5KApr 6, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$4.4KApr 6, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".